French Open Womens Final Preview 2024

Not for the first time in the tournaments’ history, the French Open has given us a very surprising finalist. A 5ft 4 Italian who runs like the wind and has power to boot. Jasmine Paolini has never been to a Grand Slam final and will play world number one, Iga Swiatek, who has been to four slam finals, winning all of them.

Why Swiatek will win

Since saving match point against Naomi Osaka in a second-round barnburner, Swiatek has been lights out, not losing a set since. It’s the classic case of ‘I’m lucky to be here and now feel I’m playing with house money’. Marry that with clay is her favorite surface and she’s already won 3 French Opens, there’s a lot of evidence Swiatek will win her 5th major.

Why Paolini will win

It’s unlikely but not impossible. At 28 years old, she’s been around the block, tennis wise. This experience you’d think will serve her well. If she plays free tennis, can extend the rallies and not let Swiatek jump all over her second serve, then at least you’re telling me there’s a chance. Yes, there is.

Prediction

On the other hand, this match could get ugly. Swiatek has a habit of winning a lot of 6-0 or 6-1 sets, especially on clay. As a first-time slam finalist, there is also a chance the moment could overwhelm Paolini. I don’t think that will happen but if it does, Swiatek will steamroll her. The first few games will be critical for the Italian. If the score races to 3-0 for Swiatek, expect a 6-0 set but if Paolini holds serve early, she can build on that and make this match competitive. If it does get close the crowd will definitely be for the Italian, which will embolden her and she can ride that emotion. I’d love to see a close match with the Italian fighting and clawing for every ball but Swiatek is so super confident and playing with that house money she’ll win easily in 2 sets.

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