French Open Mens Final Preview 2024

It’s 21-year-old Carlos Alcaraz against 27-year-old Alexander Zverev. The Spaniard won a 5 set epic semi final against new world number one Jannik Sinner to make this final. Sascha Zverev came through the Djokovic side of the draw, defeating Norwegian Casper Ruud in 4 sets. Zverev will by vying for his first Grand Slam and Alcaraz his third.

Why Alcaraz will win

Creativity is the key for Carlos. If he gets the perfect ratio of the right shot selection at the right time, he will be very hard to beat. When to go for big forehands, dropshots, sneaks into the net and wide kick serves. He has more in his arsenal than Zverev and ultimately got the mix right against Sinner. If he does that against Zverev, he’ll win.

Why Zverev will win

The German was the form player coming into this tournament, winning Rome the week before. He’s mostly carried that form these two weeks, using a big first serve to get him out of trouble and winning plenty of free points with it as evidenced by serving 19 aces in his semi win over Ruud. If he can serve anywhere near 25 or more aces and get the aggression level right in the rallies, he’ll win.

Prediction

Zverev leads the head-to-head 5-4 so you’d say that’s awash as there’s no mental domination. Zverev can go through sets in lockdown mode, meaning he just won’t miss from the baseline but the problem with that in this matchup is it will give Alcaraz the chance to go on the offense and that’s something he’s very good at doing.

Zverev needs to make something happen in the rallies. If he’s too passive Alcaraz will push him around and over the course of 4 or 5 sets that’s a winning strategy, especially on the deuce/ad points late in sets.

Most in the media thought Alcaraz was the natural successor to Rafa as the King of Clay but he won the US Open and Wimbledon first to prove his natural clay game can transcend to other surfaces. Zverev will make him earn this French Open but Alcaraz will win his third major on Sunday in 4 sets.

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