Australian Open Thoughts Week 1 – 2024

The Womens Draw is decimated

Moving into the 4th round there’s only 3 of the top ten seeds left. Sabalenka (2), Gauff (4) and Krejcikova (9). This carnage suggests last years’ Champion Sabalenka is on a fast track to the title.

I wouldn’t be so sure, even though the Russian has only lost six games in 3 rounds so far. She’ll play Amanda Anisimova today who she’s 1-4 against. A potential semi looms as well against Gauff, who she lost last years’ US Open final too. With Swiatek (1) and Rybakina (3) out this tournament may be Sabalenka’s to lose but I wouldn’t be surprised if the final on Saturday doesn’t involve her.

Coco Gauff

The de Minaur train is chugging along

Can the Aussie win this thing? The answer is probably not but the new top tenner has definitely made it interesting. He’s looked mostly comfortable and in control through 3 rounds but now his opponents ramp up a level. His 4th round is the hard-hitting Andrey Rublev (5). Alex leads their head-to-head 3-2 so he’s definitely a chance. If he gets through that the 24-year-old will play the winner of Sinner/Khachanov. If he gets through that Djokovic/Mannarino or Tsitsipas/Fritz would be the semi. Win that and he’s into the final. It’s a tough road but beating Rublev today will ignite his belief that anything is possible.

Medvedev

Day 5 was a barnburner

This was one of the best week one days in Grand Slam history. On John Cain arena Zverev wins in a 5th set breaker, Sloane Stephens goes the distance, Dimitrov beats The Kokk and Ostapenko defeats Tomljanovic, both matches played in insane atmospheres. On Margaret Court arena Casper Ruud wins in 5 sets over the Aussie Max Purcell and the exciting young French wildcard Arthur Cazaux stuns 8th seed Holger Rune. On Rod Laver arena number one seed Swiatek saves match points against the American Danni Collins, Alcaraz wins in a high quality 4 tight sets over the Italian Sonego and in the wildest match in recent memory the Russian Blinkova wins a third set breaker over 3rd seed Rybakina by the crazy score of 22-20. The tiebreaker alone lasted 35 minutes. It’s not over yet though, Danill Medvedev wins in 5 sets over Emil Ruusuvuori at the ridiculous time of 3.40am. Just an incredible day of tennis.

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